Week 7 NFL odds, best bets, picks

Our NFL betting knowledgeable presents best betting predictions and picks for Sunday’s recreation between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, stay on CBS at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Carolina Panthers star Christian McCaffrey was dealt to the San Francisco 49ers Thursday in a late-night stunner. It stays to be seen if he’ll go well with up for the Niners on Sunday once they host Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs.

Chiefs vs. 49ers picks

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Chiefs vs 49ers prediction and evaluation

The 49ers (3-3) have been three-point dwelling underdogs earlier within the week, however as of Friday morning that unfold shortened to +2. San Francisco, a run-heavy staff with a steady of OK backs, little question will enhance by feeding the dynamic McCaffrey the ball. The question is whether or not McCaffrey can be prepared by Sunday to play for his new staff on the opposite aspect of the nation. After a one-sided loss to the Atlanta Falcons, the Niners positive may use him.

The Chiefs (4-2) are additionally coming off a loss, however a extra comprehensible one, because the Buffalo Bills received the newest installment of the brand new best rivalry in soccer, 24-20. Mahomes threw for 338 yards and two touchdowns but additionally tossed two interceptions. They’re nonetheless one of many three or 4 best groups in soccer, however the Chiefs can’t afford extra early-season losses in the event that they’d wish to maintain tempo with Buffalo within the AFC.

Chiefs moneyline -135

McCaffrey has confronted the Chiefs as soon as in his career when, between accidents in 2020, he ran 18 occasions for 69 yards and a landing and caught 10 passes for 82 yards and one other landing.

Is that alone sufficient to maneuver a diffusion by an entire level, particularly with the uncertainty over whether or not he’ll overcome the logistical obstacles to have the ability to play?

It does assist that the 49ers maintain the ball on the bottom. After Jeff Wilson Jr., their second-leading rusher is WR Deebo Samuel, who stated he doesn’t like being the twin menace. Their third-leading rusher is injured quarterback Trey Lance. There’s clearly room for enchancment.

But the Chiefs have the fourth-best speeding protection within the league, partially as a result of they’re far more simply exploitable excessive of their below-average secondary. Whether CMC is in 49ers gear Sunday, we aren’t betting on Jimmy Garoppolo to make the throws essential to outduel Mahomes.

Jimmy Garoppolo
Jimmy Garoppolo
Getty Images

Bonus: The 49ers have owned one of many league’s higher defenses for years now, however Mahomes is 2-0 in opposition to them, together with, after all, Super Bowl LIV.

Pick: Chiefs to win outright @ -135 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Under 48.5 whole factors

Just one of many 49ers’ previous 9 video games, counting the common season and playoffs, noticed the over hit. That got here in Week 5 in opposition to the Panthers, who’re shaping as much as be the worst staff in soccer, that means the 49ers’ 37-15 win may be referred to as an aberration.

This is a kind of groups you may rely on to win video games with protection and operating the soccer. In different phrases, a recipe for the below.

The Chiefs little question have the flexibility to run up the rating, however they’re a balanced 3-3 within the O/U column this year. When Mahomes doesn’t take as a lot care with the ball as he ought to, it’s going to result in picks and deserted drives that might have resulted in factors.

The Niners have grabbed 5 interceptions this year whereas main the league in whole protection and rating second in passing protection. Even if Mahomes had their quantity a few Super Bowls in the past, we aren’t anticipating both staff to hit the 30s this time round. Even a 28-20 ultimate rating would make your “under” decide a successful ticket.

Pick: Under 48.5 factors scored @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Harrison Butker over 7.5 factors

Let’s do one thing a bit of completely different and discuss kickers. The Chiefs definitely don’t thoughts having Harrison Butker again after an harm to his left (plant) ankle induced them to make use of Matt Ammendola and Matthew Wright for a spell. Even security Justin Reid made an additional level for them.

Butker returned final week and cut up the uprights from 62 yards prefer it was no massive deal. We must assume that ankle is feeling higher.

The 49ers enable 14.8 factors per recreation, second-fewest within the league solely to Buffalo, whom Kansas City confronted final week. You don’t get many alternatives to attain touchdowns on a protection like that, so beating San Francisco may come down to creating area objectives early usually.

Harrison Butker
Harrison Butker
Getty Images

Butker completed with eight factors final week and wishes simply eight for this over to hit. That’s two area objectives and two PATs, or three area objectives to simply hit 9. He is usually a weapon from an excellent distance out, and on high of that, the climate forecast Sunday in Santa Clara is obvious and sunny.

Pick: Chiefs Ok Harrison Butker to attain over 7.5 factors @ -111 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Chiefs vs. 49ers odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Correct at time of publishing and topic to vary.

Team Spread Money line Total Points 48.5
Chiefs (-2) -110 -135 Over -110
49ers (+2) -110 +115 Under -110
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