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Nick Castellanos a sell at fantasy trade deadline

As your fantasy baseball league’s trade deadline approaches, it is necessary so that you can do a full evaluation of the gamers you might be planning to journey all the way in which to a championship.

Is everybody pulling their weight, and if not, are you anticipating them to show it round within the second half? The solely factor worse than drafting a prime participant who seems to be a bust is holding that participant whereas blindly hoping he turns it round, or shopping for low on that participant and by no means seeing the correct return. Phillies outfielder Nick Castellanos seems to be that participant.

Nick Castellanos.
Nick Castellanos at the plate for the Phillies.
Getty Images

When the Phillies signed Castellanos to a five-year, $100 million contract again in March, expectations ran excessive, each in actuality and fantasy baseball. The veteran slugger was coming off a career-best year, wherein he batted .309 with 34 dwelling runs, 100 RBIs and 95 runs scored for the Reds. He was leaving the pleasant confines of Great American Ballpark, however he was nonetheless going to a hitter’s park in Philadelphia with a a lot stronger surrounding lineup. Unfortunately, he has failed to fulfill expectations to this point, and it doesn’t look good for a turnaround.

Through 98 video games this season, Castellanos has a slash line of simply .251/.295/.368 with simply eight dwelling runs and 47 RBIs. His stroll rate is down, his strikeout rate is up, and his remoted energy mark (ISO), which tracks extra-base hits and homers, is at .117, which is nicely beneath league common and the bottom of his career. A glance into his batted-ball knowledge paints an much more grim image, as his barrel rate is down to simply 7 % due to an rising variety of floor balls he’s mashing into the filth.

When in search of a participant to show issues round, you search for statistical anomalies within the knowledge. Is his BABIP unusually low? If so, he might simply be unfortunate. What about his line drive rate? Sadly, although a few of Castellanos’ numbers have dipped, there’s nothing outlandish to point a turnaround. In reality, the numbers which might be “off” are issues like his chase rate (down nearly seven factors) and his batting common and slugging share in opposition to breaking balls.

It could be very troublesome to jettison a participant of Castellanos’ stature after a unhealthy first half, however he doesn’t appear like the identical hitter we noticed final year. Oftentimes, gamers want a year to readjust to their new environment, and it seems to be like he matches that mould. If you could have him, trade him to somebody who nonetheless believes. If you don’t, quietly reject these trades and proceed down your personal path.

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