Hurricane Nicole had path like Jeanne in 2004; Ian shared Charley’s path


Hours after Hurricane Nicole started its assault on Florida’s jap edge, meteorologists marveled on the parallels between storms in Florida’s 2022 and 2004 hurricane seasons. In explicit, the paths of two pairs of hurricanes — Nicole and Jeanne, and Ian and Charley — confirmed simple and eerie similarities.

Separated by 18 years, each pairs hit in nearly the identical place and adopted almost similar paths. In each cases, the storms’ landfalls have been 43 days aside.

On social media, meteorologists described the coincidences as “wild,” “amazing” and “crazy.”

After socking Florida, Nicole to carry heavy rain, twister danger to jap U.S.

At 3 a.m. Thursday, Nicole made landfall simply south of Vero Beach, Fla., as a Category 1 hurricane.

Eighteen years earlier and fewer than 15 miles away, Hurricane Jeanne made landfall on the southern finish of Hutchinson Island the night time of Sept. 25.

Jeanne lashed the island as a Category 3 hurricane with most sustained winds of 120 mph earlier than weakening to a tropical storm over central Florida, in line with the National Weather Service. Along a boomerang-shaped path, Jeanne then turned sharply towards central Georgia, the Carolinas and Virginia.

Nicole was likewise downgraded to a tropical storm over Florida’s inside and can also be projected to streak north into central Georgia, following a path only a trace to the west of Jeanne’s.

The tracks of Ian and Charley are additionally almost similar.

Forty-three days in the past, Ian made landfall close to Cayo Costa, devastating southwestern Florida as a high-end Category 4 storm. It was Florida’s first hurricane of this season.

Charley, Florida’s first hurricane of the 2004 hurricane season, additionally made landfall close to Cayo Costa as a high-end Category 4 storm.

In one other uncanny similarity, the National Hurricane Center had initially predicted each Charley and Ian would make landfall close to Tampa Bay, however each storms made a late shift and struck nearer to Fort Myers.

Then, each Ian and Charley traveled northeast throughout the Sunshine State.

Is there an evidence for the coincidences?

It seems that the storm similarities have been first seen by Matt Devitt, chief meteorologist for Tampa affiliate WINK, who posted illustrations on Twitter early Thursday.

Meteorologists don’t have an evidence for the deja vu second.

“It’s certainly a remarkable coincidence,” Brian McNoldy, a hurricane researcher on the University of Miami, advised The Washington Post.

Phil Klotzbach, a hurricane researcher at Colorado State University, agreed. “It is an interesting curiosity, but I think that’s all that there is to this,” he wrote in an e mail.

While 2022 and 2004 shared the surprisingly comparable storm pairings, the 2 hurricane seasons differed in essential methods.

Florida’s 2004 hurricane season was marked by extraordinarily excessive exercise that includes 4 main storms, rated Category 3 or greater. That year, Charley began off Florida’s season in mid-August. This year, Ian kicked off Florida’s hurricane season in late September.

There have been additionally variations in the storms’ intensities.

“Ian was a much larger storm than Charley and consequently caused more damage, while Jeanne was a much stronger hurricane than Nicole (and consequently caused more damage),” Klotzbach wrote.

Nicole is the 122nd hurricane to hit the state since 1851 — making Florida probably the most hurricane-ravaged state in the nation.

Florida has the second-longest shoreline — 1,350 miles — amongst states, behind Alaska. The state juts into heat, tropical waters, immediately into the paths of hurricanes trekking throughout the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, which makes it a chief touchdown spot throughout Atlantic hurricane season.

Why Florida is extra liable to hurricanes

Although the 2004 hurricane season began early and was extraordinarily busy, 2022’s season began late and has had near-average exercise.

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